Everything about John Mearsheimer totally explained
John J. Mearsheimer (born
December 1947) is the R. Wendell Harrison Distinguished Service Professor of
Political Science at the
University of Chicago. He is a well-known international relations theorist. Perhaps best known for his pioneering book on
offensive realism,
The Tragedy of Great Power Politics, more recently Mearsheimer has attracted considerable public attention for co-authoring and publishing the article
The Israel Lobby and U.S. Foreign Policy, which was subsequently published as a book, becoming a
New York Times Best Seller.
Early years
Mearsheimer was born in December
1947 in
Brooklyn,
New York. He was raised in
New York City until the age of eight, when his parents moved his family to
Croton-on-Hudson, New York, a suburb located in
Westchester County.
At age 17, Mearsheimer enlisted in the
U.S. Army. After one year as an enlisted member, he chose to attend the
United States Military Academy at
West Point. He attended West Point from
1966-
1970. After graduation, he served for five years as an officer in the
U.S. Air Force.
While in the
Air Force, Mearsheimer earned a
Masters Degree in
International Relations from the
University of Southern California in
1974. He subsequently entered
Cornell University and earned a
Ph.D. in government, specifically in international relations, in
1981. From 1978-1979, was a research fellow at the
Brookings Institution in
Washington, D.C. From 1980-1982, he was a post-doctoral fellow at
Harvard University’s Center for International Affairs.
University of Chicago
Since 1982, Mearsheimer has been a member of the
faculty of the
Department of Political Science
at the
University of Chicago. He became an
associate professor in 1984, a full
professor in 1987, and was appointed to the Harrison chair in 1996. From 1989-1992, he served as chairman of the department. He currently holds a position as a faculty member in the
Committee on International Relations graduate program. In class he often refers to the United States as "Uncle Sugar" and regularly receives standing ovations at the culmination of lecture.
Mearsheimer has written extensively about
national security policy and international relations theory, especially
neo-realism, which he defines as a state’s tendency to attempt to gain as much relative power as possible and eventually become the
hegemon of the international system.
Mearsheimer’s books include
Conventional Deterrence (1983),
Nuclear Deterrence: Ethics and Strategy
(1985),
Liddell Hart and the Weight of History (1988), and
The Tragedy of Great Power Politics (2001). He has also written numerous book chapters, journal articles, and newspaper op-ed pieces.
Finally, Mearsheimer has won a number of teaching awards. He received the Clark Award for Distinguished Teaching when he was a graduate student at Cornell in 1977, and he won the Quantrell Award for Excellence in Undergraduate Teaching at the University of Chicago in 1985. In addition, he was selected as a Phi Beta Kappa Visiting Scholar for the 1993-1994 academic year. In that capacity, he gave a series of talks at eight colleges and universities. In 2003, he was elected to the
American Academy of Arts and Sciences.
"Israel Lobby" controversy
In March 2006, Mearsheimer and
Stephen Walt, the academic dean and Robert and Rene Belfer Professor of International Relations at the
Harvard Kennedy School of Government, published a working paper and an article in the
London Review of Books discussing the power of the "Israel lobby" in shaping US foreign policy. They define the Israel lobby as "a loose coalition of individuals and organizations who actively work to steer US foreign policy in a pro-Israel direction." Those pieces generated considerable media coverage throughout the world, and led to a heated debate between supporters and opponents of the argument.
Offensive realism
John Mearsheimer is the leading proponent of a branch of
realist theory called
offensive realism. Offensive realism is a structural theory which, unlike the classical realism of
Hans Morgenthau, blames security competition among great powers on the anarchy of the international system, not on human nature. In contrast to another structural realist theory, the defensive realism of
Waltz, offensive realism maintains that states are not satisfied with a given amount of power, but seek hegemony for security. Mearsheimer summed this view up in
The Tragedy of Great Power Politics:
» Given the difficulty of determining how much power is enough for today and tomorrow, great powers recognize that the best way to ensure their security is to achieve hegemony now, thus eliminating any possibility of a challenge by another great power. Only a misguided state would pass up an opportunity to become hegemon in the system because it thought it already had sufficient power to survive.
In this world, there's no such thing as a
status quo power, since according to Mearsheimer, "a great power that has a marked power advantage over its rivals is likely to behave more aggressively because it has the capability as well as the incentive to do so." He has also dismissed
democratic peace theory, which claims that
democracies—specifically,
liberal democracies—never or rarely go to war with one another.
Although Mearsheimer doesn't believe it's possible for a state to become a global
hegemon, he believes states seek regional hegemony. Furthermore, he argues that states attempt to prevent other states from becoming regional hegemons, since peer competitors could interfere in a state's affairs. States which have achieved regional hegemony, such as the U.S., will act as offshore balancers, interfering in other regions only when the great powers in those regions are not able to prevent the rise of a hegemon.
Mearsheimer has been a vocal critic of American policy toward
China. Though China doesn't have openly militaristic ambitions today, he thinks that by trading with China and helping its economy, the United States is providing a base from which the Chinese could seriously threaten American national security in the years to come. Furthermore, he thinks that China's neighbours are increasingly worried about the growing power of China and that there are already indications that they're trying to balance China by improving ties with the United States, making the U.S. an offshore balancer.
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Conventional deterrence
Mearsheimer's first book
Conventional Deterrence (1983) addresses the question of how decisions to start a war depend on the projected outcome of military conflict. In other words, how do decision makers' beliefs about the outcome of war affect the success or failure of deterrence? Mearsheimer's basic argument is that deterrence is likely to obtain when the potential attacker believes that a successful attack will be unlikely and costly. If the potential attacker, however, has reason to believe the attack will likely succeed and entail low costs, then deterrence is likely to breakdown. Specifically, Mearsheimer argues that the success of deterrence is determined by the strategy available to the potential attacker. He lays out three strategies. First, a war-of-attrition strategy, which entails a high level of uncertainty about the outcome of war and high costs for the attacker. Second, a limited-aims strategy, which entails less risks and lower costs. And, third, a
blitzkrieg strategy, which provides a way to defeat the enemy rapidly and decisively, with relatively low costs. For Mearsheimer, failures in the modern battlefield are due mostly to the potential attacker's belief that it can successfully implement a
blitzkrieg strategy -- in which tanks and other mechanized forces are employed swiftly to effect a deep penetration and disrupt the enemy's rear. The other two strategies are unlikely to lead to deterrence failures because they'd entail a low probability of success accompanied by high costs (war of attrition) or limited gains and the possibility of the conflict turning into a war of attrition (limited aims). If the attacker has a coherent
blitzkrieg strategy available, however, an attack is likely to ensue, as its potential benefits outweigh the costs and risks of starting a war.
Besides analyzing cases from World War II and the Arab-Israeli conflict, Mearsheimer extrapolates implications from his theory for the prospects of conventional deterrence in Central Europe during the late Cold War. Here, he argues that a Soviet attack is unlikely because the Soviet military would be unable successfully to implement a
blitzkrieg strategy. The balance of forces, the difficulty of advancing rapidly with mechanized forces through Central Europe, and the formidable NATO forces opposing such a Soviet attack made it unlikely, in Mearsheimer's view, that the Soviets would start a conventional war in Europe.
Positions
Nuclear proliferation
In
1990 he published a controversial essay called
Back to the Future
where he predicted that following the
Cold War,
Europe would revert to a
multipolar environment similar to that in the first half of the
Twentieth Century.
In this essay and in the 1993 article in
Foreign Affairs The case for a Ukrainian nuclear deterrent
, he argued that to reduce the dangers of war, the United States should encourage
Germany and
Ukraine to develop a
nuclear arsenal, while working to prevent the rise of hyper-
nationalism. Beyond this, however, Mearsheimer made several predictions about the future of European politics including a claim that Europe would descend into war again as
Germany once more tried to conquer the continent. Also, he refused the possibility that the
Ukraine would give up its nuclear arsenal (a remnant of the soviet stockpile there) though this in fact occurred. When challenged on the former assertion at a lecture given to the International Politics department at
Aberystwyth, he maintained that in spite of all
European integration and expansion, his prediction would come true in time .
Also, in op-ed pieces on the
New York Times written in 1998 and 2000, Mearsheimer defended India's right to acquire nuclear weapons. In support of this position, he argued that India has good strategic reasons to want a nuclear deterrent, especially in order to balance against China and Pakistan, guaranteeing regional stability. He also criticized US counter-proliferation policy towards India, which he considered unrealistic and harmful to American interests in the region.
Iraq war (1991)
In January and early February 1991, Mearsheimer published two op-eds in the
Chicago Tribune and the
New York Times arguing that the war to liberate Kuwait from Iraqi forces should be quick and lead to a decisive US victory, with less than 1,000 American casualties. This view countered the conventional wisdom at the start of the war, that predicted a conflict lasting for months and costing thousands of American lives. Mearsheimer's argument was based on several points. First, the Iraqi Army was a Third World military, unprepared to fight mobile armored battles. Second, US armored forces were superiorly equipped and trained. Third, US artillery was also far better than its Iraqi counterpart. Fourth, US airpower, unfettered by the weak Iraqi air force, should prove devastating against Iraqi ground forces. Fifth and finally, the forward deployment of Iraqi reserves bode ill for their ability to counter US efforts to penetrate the Iraqi defense line along the Saudi-Kuwaiti border. All these predictions came true in the course of the war.
Iraq war (2003-present)
Mearsheimer is an outspoken opponent of the
Iraq War. In
2002, he was one of thirty three professors to sign a letter in the
New York Times
arguing against
President Bush’s intention to invade Iraq and topple
Saddam Hussein from power. He felt that invading Iraq would distract from the war against
al Qaeda, which he described as a greater threat to national security. The war was unnecessary, Mearsheimer felt, because the United States could continue to effectively
contain Hussein, as it had done for over a decade since the
Gulf War. His thinking on the matter is underpinned by a belief in a rational
deterrence theory of
weapons of mass destruction - namely, that there's no way by which a power with nuclear weapons equal to or less than another power can effectively coerce it into policies against its choosing (this presumes, and he holds, that Saddam Hussein was a
rational actor). Mearsheimer predicted that after invading Iraq, the U.S. would need to occupy it for decades. He also wrote several
Op-Ed pieces in
2003, including
An Unnecessary War and
Keeping Saddam in a Box in which he made the same points.
In a December 2004 interview,
Mearsheimer argued that the architects of the invasion, however misguided, were
motivated by a sincere desire to protect American interests. In his March 2006 paper with Walt (discussed in the section above on the Israel Lobby) he argued that "the war was motivated in good part by a desire to make Israel more secure".
He further wrote in an article in
Foreign Policy in May 2006 :
We also traced the lobby’s impact on recent U.S. policies, including the March 2003 invasion of Iraq. Neoconservatives inside and outside the Bush administration, as well as leaders of a number of prominent pro-Israel organizations, played key roles in making the case for war. We believe the United States wouldn't have attacked Iraq without their efforts. That said, these groups and individuals didn't operate in a vacuum, and they didn't lead the country to war by themselves. For instance, the war would probably not have occurred absent the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks, which helped convince President George W. Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney to support it.
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